Purdue vs. Michigan Odds, Picks

Purdue vs. Michigan odds

Bordeaux And Michigan State It meets on Monday afternoons for a Big Ten class game. This series has been recently dominated by Purdue, which has won seven of the last 10 games between the two.

The Boilermakers will travel to East Lansing as the No. 3 team in the country, with their only loss so far this season on the road against Rutgers, 65-64.

Michigan State will be looking to bounce back from Friday’s road loss to Illinois, 75-66. The Spartans were cold on the outside against the Illini, failing to convert any of their seven 3-point attempts.

To determine if the Boilermakers will continue their dominant play against the Spartans, let’s look at the odds and project the Purdue game against Michigan State.

Purdue put together a stellar 2022-23 campaign by playing 17 games. Boilermakers boast of being the nation’s No. 1 offense modified efficiency. They are able to match this with a defense that ranks 29th nationally in the same category.

Offensively, the Boilermakers succeeded through deliberate pace, ability to get to the free throw line and offensive rebounding.

Purdue ranks 329th in average offensive possession length, taking 19.1 seconds per possession. A slew of those acquisitions has put Purdue on the free throw line, with the Boilermakers scoring 21.6% of their points from the charity tape (36th nationally).

In addition, Purdue is the best rebounding offensive team in the country, creating second chances on 39.8% of its possessions.

This rebounding ability is the result of the unrivaled 7-foot-4 Zack Eddy. The All-American’s offensive rebound percentage is 21.7%, the highest in the country.

Although difficult to stop Edey completely, the Spartans defense showed an ability to limit second chance chances. Michigan ranks 12th nationally in offensive rebound defense, allowing second chances on just 22.9% of possessions.

In addition to limiting second chances, Michigan State was able to defend without errors, allowing its opponents to score only 16.9% of their points from the free throw line.

The Spartans’ ability to limit Boilermakers in these two major categories will hinder Purdue’s offense that has caused so many problems for its opponents.

The Spartans have had an up and down 2022-23 season with their inability to stay healthy.

In Friday’s loss to Illinois, forward Malik Hall again suffered an ankle injury that kept him out of eight games as the start of the year. Hall’s importance to this team was shown when the Spartans posted four straight wins when he returned to action on December 30.

Hall’s loss is significant for a Spartans team that struggled offensively against Illinois. Michigan State failed to score from outside the arc, attempting just seven seconds the entire game.

Finding some shooting progression won’t come easy against a Purdue team that ranks 38th nationally in perimeter defense. Boilermakers allowed their opponents to shoot only 30% from 3-point range.

These weak offensive tendencies will be highlighted by a methodical offensive pace. Michigan ranks 252nd in average offensive possession length, using 18.1 seconds per pass.

Finally, Michigan State won’t be able to look at the free throw line for offensive relief, as Purdue allows only 11.5% of its points from the charity bar (363 nationally).

In general, I expect Michigan State to be looking for offensive answers early and often on a Monday afternoon.

Purdue vs michigan pick bet

This matchup has all the ingredients of a classic low-scoring Big Ten battle.

Purdue is a team that thrives on being able to get to the free throw line and create second chances, two areas the Spartans defense has been effective in limiting.

On the flip side, Michigan State is coming off its worst outside shooting performance of the season while losing a pivotal offensive weapon.

These factors – along with the slow and systematic pace of both crimes – make it the least valuable investment.

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