Scotty Scheffler in 2023? Why Cameron Young is preparing to emerge as a superstar on the PGA Tour

This time last year Scotty Scheffler had never won a PGA Tour event, was out of the top 10 in the Official World Golf Rankings, wasn’t in Hawaii for the Tournament of Champions and had Just earning $7.5 million. right Now? He is a four-time winner, Masters champion, has the second shortest odds of winning the 2023 Tournament of Champions and has tripled his career earnings to just over $22 million. Oh, and if it finishes near the top of this week’s event, it will be back at number one in the world for what will be its 31st week.

Needless to say, things have changed.

However, it begs the question of who we are overlooking now. More specifically: Who is Scottie Scheffler in 2023? The player who will be sitting here this time next year, perhaps not with the same bona fides that Scheffler put together in 2022, but with a much more complete resume than she currently has and a more household name in golf houses than she currently is.

There may have been many candidates for the role in 2023, but none are as blatantly clear as the golfer who mostly fits Scheffler’s stat profile, nearly won several majors in 2022 and is coming off his first event with the all-American team. Like Scheffler who was general. Ago.

The most likely candidate to reprise Scotty Scheffler’s 2022 movie in 2023 is, of course, Kam Young.

Young has yet to win a PGA Tour, but he’s an elite striker (13th over the past 12 months), and he’s in plenty of competition. In 2022 alone he finished second or third in the following events.

  • Open tournament
  • The genesis of the call
  • Classic Rocket Mortgage
  • Wells Fargo Championship
  • PGA Championship
  • RBC Legacy

It’s easy to say now, but if, say, 10 strokes went differently, then we’re talking about Kam Young who has Scotty Scheffler 2022 in 2022 Not in 2023.

Youth fits the modern mold, too. It’s pretty huge off the tee. He was contacted by the statistician Joseph Lamagna The best driver in the world – and as good as anywhere else to be so dangerous. The dispersion at his end is also great, as he doesn’t finish the T11 very often. In 25 games last season, he finished in the top three seven times and missed the cut seven times.

This is an ideal ratio, and Data Golf has been led to the following conclusion, which I put in a recent newsletter.

Young is one of the best active players not to win a PGA Tour: Our models estimate that his performance on the PGA Tour was good enough to predict 1.6 PGA Tour wins and 0.4 main wins. The only non-winning player with higher values ​​on these two metrics is Tommy Fleetwood.

In other words, Kam Young will come in 2023.

To illustrate the point, consider that among the 150 best players in the world right now, Young is the 18th best ball forward of his career. Among the names before him are Rory McIlroy, Sergio Garcia, Justin Thomas and Dustin Johnson. They are the players who won b Much. Young has played so few rounds compared to the rest of these players (example: Young has played 87 ShotLink rounds counted compared to Xander Schauffele’s 405) that it is easier to visualize his overall catching-up win than his downfall. Out of the planet when it comes to his batting numbers.

This isn’t something rooted in statistical certainty—not that anything in golf really is—but Young’s skill set does evaporate. Great short games, great rackets, come and go. pop then they disappear. Elite driving, being a driver among the top five (maybe the top three) in the world? This is a solid statistic.

Young seems to want the ball, too. He hit the missing shot of the year in 2022 when he parred the 72nd hole at St Andrews during The Open Championship. I was caught between Cam Smith’s victory and McIlroy’s defeat, but when he had to get two, he stepped up and made it in a moment where he had to get it. He spoke after that tour about how he was still learning to win at the highest level, and his Open success was part of that.

“I think I stuck to my plan and some process that got me there really well,” Young said. “And not necessarily that I didn’t attend the PGA Championship, but I don’t know if I let it come to me as much as I did today. I tried as hard as I could — watching [Cam Smith] Making a million birdies in a row is good in one sense because it pushes you, and in another it’s hard to watch because you see him put the blows, knowing he kind of beats you.

“But, yeah, I think I was a little bit more patient today and obviously had 18 bonuses, but I was a little bit short.”

The IPO was a short topic for Young in 2022, and it’s not unlike Scheffler’s 2021 movie. Scheffler rounded out the top eight Seven times – including three of the major championships – in 2021 without winning a single event. He had the highest expected win rate in 2021 (1.27 wins) of anyone who has not won a PGA Tour event. Young earned the honor in 2022 at 1.20 (and 0.38 in the majors, which is very high).

Add it all up, and Young is the obvious choice to have a Seifler-like year in 2023. Not as talked about as it should be — that was true of Scheffler last year, too — but having one, two or even three big wins on the PGA Tour. All of that will change. Just like what happened to the man who’s chasing him now.

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