The College Football Playoff National Championship between TCU and Georgia got the nation’s attention on Monday night, but there was still value on the college basketball betting board.
K McCune Three Man Weave has three best bets for the mini-schedule on Monday, including an out-of-the-west game featuring New Mexico Lobos.
Dive in now so you don’t forget college hoops.
Best bets on Three Man Weave College basketball on Monday
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matches Ky is targeting from Monday’s fixture list. Click on the team logos for a match below to go to a specific bet discussed in this article.
Colgate vs. Army
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by K McCune
Art director Matt L’Engle built the Colgate program in the National League juggernaut.
Since the 2017-18 season, the Raiders have gone 69-18 in league play, but the stat that matters most to us bettors is Colgate’s mark in the ATS. Over the past five seasons—plus the three games this year—Colgate has been a solid 59-30 on price difference, or a 65% win rate.
In that span, the Raiders had never had a losing ATS conference season; It was profitable to throw your money blindly at the raiders every year.
This trend continued this year, as Colgate completely dominated its top three opponents: Loyola (MD) with 34, Lehigh with 16 and Navy with 14.
Tonight, he faces the Raiders army A team that also jumped out to a 3-0 Patriots start, though the Black Knights’ overall resume includes losses to Stonehill, William & Mary, Manhattan, and Stony Brook (all teams that ranked outside of Kienbaum’s top 300).
Colgate is so dominant that its offense is almost impossible for any team in the country to stop, let alone the Patriots League. The Raiders have the 26th best offense in the country (per KenPom) and currently lead the Earth in effective field goal percentage and 3 point percentage.
That’s no coincidence either — L’Engle recruits firefighters and plays four men on Earth who can rain from the depths at all times.
The military can’t really stop Colgate. The Knights just have to hope the Raiders catch a cold, which is a tall order for the best shooter team in the country.
On the other hand, Army will need to play their best offensive game to beat Colgate’s scoring offense. The Black Knights can certainly score, and their ability to shoot all three gives them a fighting chance in every match.
Colgate has been poor this year at bow guard, but part of that is likely down to bad luck. Opponents are shooting 38.3% from 3 this year against the Raiders, best 25 clip.
L’Engle has never had a team give up a higher percentage, and its four teams before this year have never allowed a clip more than 34%.
And that means downhill shooting (and good luck) is coming.
This game is a match between rich and poor. Colgate is simply a class above the rest of the Patriot League and has had great success beating teams by large margins.
We are riding the trend and putting our faith in a dominant team.
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Howard vs. Maryland Eastern Shore
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by K McCune
The MEAC has arguably gotten off to its strongest start ever, and looks like the best version of the league we’ve seen in some time.
On the surface, this might look like a game of indifference between two low-profile mega-corporations that rarely gets media attention. But in reality, it’s a match between two legitimately good teams.
Both teams have the potential to earn the MEAC automatic bid in March and give the high-seed a few bouts.
Both teams have had impressive wins this season. UMES He has a win at Temple and has competed admirably against a tough non-conference schedule. The Falcons went 8-3 against unruly foes, winning all three contests in which they were favored.
Howard It can’t quite match the UMES ATS brand, but the Bison has been pretty solid in the off-duster and has been very good lately. With victories over Buffalo on the neutral, Austin Peay and Harvard on the road, and FIU at home, Howard has shown he can be a force against good opponents.
Tonight’s match appears to be an even match. Both teams must find success in each other’s heart. Howard has a clear advantage in the paint, while UMES arguably has the easiest path to score from outside the arc.
Howard got the nod tonight for several reasons.
First and foremost, the Bison undoubtedly have the best player on the ground in Elijah Hawkins. The sophomore guard is a stat-sheet filler and can take over games late in the hour.
Howard also has an oversized edge, and Steve Settle III’s 6-foot-10 stretch must have been a matching nightmare. UMES would have difficulties dealing with the size of a bison and keeping it out of the glass.
Finally, Howard has been the better team lately, and that hasn’t been fully reflected in the major analytics sites.
One of the main reasons for Howard’s rating decline was Hawkins missing three games in late November/early December. In that span, Howard lost to the lower Hampton team by nine and lost to Yale by 46 points.
This stretch sent Bison’s KenPom rating down the toilet, down 36 spots and nearly out of the top 300.
Since Hawkins’ return to the fold, the bison have been slowly but surely climbing the mountain.
Take Howard tonight as you make the jaunt to Princess Anne, MD, and look to go 2-0 in conference.
Oral Roberts vs. New Mexico
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by K McCune
Non-conference games in the heart of a conference season are a rarity in college basketball.
When it does happen, it’s usually a feature game between the two power conference teams, such as the 12/SEC Challenge in late January.
Disrupting these games can be challenging, as the motive is hard to pin down. If you were a one-league team, how much interest would your coaching staff and players actually have in a one-time, no-deal game that has no bearing on your participation in the NCAA Tournament?
this Oral Robertssituation tonight.
While the Golden Eagles have enjoyed a stellar season so far, their chances of making a major championship bid are slim. The Summit League did not send two representatives to the Big Dance.
New Mexico, on the other hand, has a good chance of bidding despite the recent slide in two games. A loss tonight will suddenly bring that show into question, which means we have to get the Lobos locked in their home turf.
The Pit has a reputation as one of the toughest places to play college basketball. KenPom ranks the Lobos’ home court advantage as ninth best in the country, and UNM is 6-3-1 ATS this season in Albuquerque.
ORU’s defense ranks 200th nationally, according to KenPom. The lobos’ rushing attack should have no problem putting points on the board.
The perimeter look should be readily available, and UNM’s stellar point guard duo of Jamal Mashburn Jr. and Gillen House should be able to tell the Golden Eagles defense off the ball screens.
On the other hand, stopping the burning Max Abmas will be your number one priority. Abmas is one of the all-time leading scorers in college basketball, so the Lobos will be paying close attention to him.
UNM’s athletics feature will be key to this end.
We support a very motivated Lobos team tonight against a dangerous midfielder. UNM hopes to do for ORU what Mountain West cohorts did for Utah in November, when the Aggies defeated the Golden Eagles by 10 in Logan.